GLOBAL
INTELLIGENCE REPORT

GIB · GLOBEINTELREPORT.COM

Support GIBSite updatedOct 22, 2026•••
Full GIB infographic explaining the research platform
Latest headlines
GIB / Global Intelligence Brief

Permanent investigation / Technology, infrastructure and public value

Data Centers: Infrastructure, Power, Water, and Public Value

A data-center campus connected to electrical infrastructure, cooling water, workers, homes and the surrounding landscape
Data centers convert electricity, water, land, chips, capital and skilled work into computation. The public-value test must measure the complete system.

Project, Research, Analysis, Editorial by Patrick Russell; assisted by ChatGPT (OpenAI).

A data center is a factory that converts electricity, water, land, chips, capital and expertise into computation. The public question is not simply whether data centers are needed, but which facilities, in which places, for which uses, on whose terms.

Established August 29, 2026 · · Project comparison integrated October 3, 2026 · Semiconductor supply-chain update October 14, 2026 · Other sections retain their cited evidence dates

The question this investigation answers

Which data centers, in which locations and on whose contractual terms, deliver durable public value after their complete costs?

Distinct finding and connected evidence
What this investigation adds
A project and system assessment of demand, grid capacity, ratepayer exposure, water, land, jobs, subsidies, security and long-term liabilities.
Evidence assessed here
Project permits and contracts, utility tariffs, actual investment, connected load, resource use and operating employment, with announcements separated from delivery.
Next evidence test
Reconcile each project’s stage and power requirement, identify who pays for expansion and test whether promised jobs and protections are delivered.

Shared evidence contributes only when this investigation adds a distinct mechanism, consequence, comparison or decision implication. Preserve the original finding, source origin and review date; repeated coverage is not independent corroboration.

Executive assessment

Necessary infrastructure does not make every proposed project necessary

Digital services are foundational infrastructure, and AI is creating a genuine new class of high-density demand. But the current buildout also contains forecast error, queue inflation, subsidy competition and a race to secure scarce power before every proposed workload exists.

Finding 01

Demand is real, but the range is wide. Global electricity use could nearly double by 2030 in the IEA base case. Financing, chip supply, construction, grid delays and efficiency can materially change the result.

Finding 02

Location determines impact. The same facility can be relatively benign on a clean, uncongested, water-secure grid and damaging in a drought-prone, transmission-constrained or fossil-dependent region.

Finding 03

Efficiency is not sufficiency. Better chips and cooling lower resource use per calculation, but cheaper computing can increase total use. Absolute power, water and emissions still matter.

Finding 04

Benefits and burdens are distributed differently. Global users and shareholders may receive the service while one locality carries the noise, water use, grid expansion and fiscal risk.

Finding 05

Contracts decide who pays. Rate design, subsidy terms, water rights, decommissioning security and enforceable performance standards are as consequential as the engineering.

Current scale

The buildout in four numbers

Electricity demand and investment are rising rapidly, although forecasts remain uncertain. These benchmarks show why data-center power, water, infrastructure and public-cost decisions now matter.

485 TWhGlobal electricity, 2025

IEA estimate for data-center electricity consumption.

~950 TWhGlobal electricity, 2030

IEA base-case projection—nearly double 2025, but sensitive to finance and bottlenecks.

4.4%U.S. electricity, 2023

DOE/LBNL estimate; the 2028 range is 6.7%–12%.

$580BInvestment, 2025

IEA estimate—more than the $540 billion invested in global oil supply that year.

What is being built—and why

One label covers very different facilities

Enterprise

Owned or leased by one organization for internal systems, regulated data or mission-critical operations.

Colocation

Shared buildings where many customers rent secure space, power and network connections.

Hyperscale cloud

Large standardized campuses serving elastic storage, software, streaming and general computing across regions.

AI training

Dense accelerator clusters run long, power-intensive calculations to create models; high-speed networking is essential.

AI inference

Facilities operate trained models for real users. Demand may be geographically distributed and latency-sensitive.

Edge and sovereign

Smaller regional or nationally controlled capacity reduces latency, supports resilience and meets jurisdictional rules.

Analytical rule: A facility's public value depends on the workload. A hospital record system, a scientific model, targeted advertising, mass surveillance and speculative token generation are not socially interchangeable simply because all consume megawatts.

History

From protected computer rooms to industrial-scale computation

Mainframe rooms

Centralized government, university and corporate computers required controlled rooms, specialized operators, cooling and reliable power.

Enterprise computing

Banks, airlines, manufacturers and governments built larger machine rooms as databases and transaction systems became essential.

Internet and colocation

Commercial internet traffic, web hosting and telecom interconnection created carrier hotels and shared colocation facilities.

Cloud hyperscale

Virtualization and services such as Amazon EC2 turned computing into an elastic, metered utility delivered from very large campuses.

Mobile, streaming and edge

Always-on apps, video, social platforms and low-latency services expanded both hyperscale campuses and smaller regional sites.

AI factories

Accelerators, high-speed networking and dense liquid-cooled racks concentrate unprecedented power into facilities designed to train and serve AI models.

Facilities grew because computing moved from rare institutional machines to universal network services. Standardization, virtualization and cloud software raised utilization and pooled demand. AI has changed the physical design again: NVIDIA documents a current AI rack at up to 142 kW, while ASHRAE describes 120 kW to several hundred kilowatts per rack and anticipates megawatt-scale systems.

Technology and innovation

More useful work per resource—not just more machines

Compute

CPUs remain central for general workloads; GPUs and custom accelerators perform highly parallel AI calculations. The useful output is computation—training, inference, storage, transactions and communications—not the building itself.

Power train

Substations, switchgear, transformers, uninterruptible power supplies, batteries and generators deliver conditioned, redundant electricity. New designs use higher voltages, modular power blocks and longer-duration storage.

Cooling

Air cooling persists, while direct-to-chip liquid cooling, rear-door heat exchangers and immersion systems manage dense racks. Closed-loop and dry-cooling designs can sharply reduce water use, often with energy or capital tradeoffs.

Network and software

Fiber, switches, workload schedulers, virtualization and observability pool machines and move work across time and place. Better utilization can produce more useful computing per server and per megawatt.

Efficiency metrics

PUE measures facility overhead, not whether the computation is valuable, carbon-free or water-efficient. It should be paired with carbon, water, utilization, reliability and useful-work measures.

Emerging supply

Advanced geothermal, nuclear uprates and new reactors, grid-enhancing technologies, fuel cells and heat reuse may improve supply. Each must be evaluated for cost, timing, emissions, safety and who bears risk.

U.S. electricity infrastructure / September 30, 2026

The power bottleneck: emergency operations, investment and who pays

Reliable electricity connects America’s Ai ambitions to operating facilities, skilled jobs and useful services. September developments show why new generation, transmission capacity and enforceable customer protections must advance together.

September 30: a Korean-backed Texas power project moves forward

President’s stated position: President Trump announced up to $200 billion in Korean-backed U.S. energy investment: a $22 billion, 6.4-gigawatt gas-fired project in Encinal, Texas; eight proposed large nuclear reactors; and work toward the Alaska LNG project. He said the added power would support advanced manufacturing, semiconductors and other industries of the future.

Established facts: Reuters reports that South Korea selected the Texas project under the bilateral strategic-investment program and that it is intended to supply energy-intensive facilities including data centers and semiconductor plants. South Korean officials separately say only the Texas project is finalized; the nuclear and Alaska proposals remain under discussion. Announced value and capacity are not operating generation.

Claims and disputed matters: The administration presents the package as $200 billion of new U.S. investment and transformative capacity. Commercial viability, financing, final contracts, permitting, construction schedules, fuel and grid connections—and whether the full headline amount is ultimately deployed—remain material tests. The President described a $50 billion Alaska project, while Reuters reported roughly $54 billion.

Inference: A 6-plus-gigawatt plant built substantially for data centers and chip fabs would be a major supply-side response to AI-era load growth. It could reduce connection constraints, but it would also concentrate gas demand, emissions, water use and financial risk unless tariffs, contracts and permits allocate those costs to the large-load beneficiaries.

What remains unproved: No verified record reviewed for this update establishes completed financing, final offtake agreements, permits, construction commencement, an in-service date, delivered megawatts, customer tariffs, ratepayer protections, water requirements, emissions controls or a binding allocation between data centers and other users.

President Trump’s statement · Reuters verification and project context · Yonhap on Seoul’s project-status distinction

September 17–18: a temporary reliability emergency

DOE authorized PJM to dispatch specified resources and use backup generation as a last resort during forecast heat and planned transmission outages. The order ran September 17–18 and has expired. It demonstrates an operational reliability concern; it does not establish that data centers caused that event or that nationwide blackouts are inevitable.

DOE emergency-order announcement

September 24: expand the grid already in place

The Trump Administration’s DOE selected 31 SPARK grid projects across 26 states, with $1.9 billion in federal support and $3.35 billion in recipient funding. DOE anticipates rebuilding or replacing conductors on more than 1,500 miles of lines and deploying advanced technologies across nearly 21,000 miles, making more than 23 GW of additional grid capacity available.

These are announced investments and projected benefits. Additional transmission capability moves electricity; it is not 23 GW of newly built power generation. Completion dates, delivered capacity and actual customer savings remain the measures of success.

DOE SPARK investment announcement

September legislative debate: growth without household cost transfers

The House passed the Ratepayer Protection Act on September 16 by 417–3. It would require state regulators to consider standards assigning incremental infrastructure costs to large electricity users; consideration does not guarantee adoption. Senator Jon Husted sought expedited Senate passage on September 17. Senator Martin Heinrich objected, arguing that mandatory protections were needed, and offered his GRID Savings Act. Senator Bernie Moreno objected to that alternative.

September 30 reporting describes renewed Senate consideration of the House-passed bill. This update does not establish enactment or a completed September 30 vote. Both proposals must be distinguished from existing tariffs and the White House’s voluntary pledge.

Husted’s legislative record · Heinrich’s competing proposal · September 30 Senate reporting

Assessment: Faster grid improvements can support national Ai leadership and industrial growth while relieving congestion. Public benefit depends on delivery and cost allocation: households should receive documented reliability and affordability gains, and large users should cover the incremental costs attributable to serving them.

What to track: Project commissioning and usable capacity; new dependable generation and connection times; emergency operating orders; adopted large-load tariffs, collateral and exit protections; and household bills compared with a documented baseline. An emergency order is a temporary response, an award is an investment commitment, and a bill is a proposal—none alone proves a completed solution.

Nuclear fuel, AI power demand and America’s energy supply

Focused evidence review October 10, 2026 · Original announcement and measurement dates retained

Status: Fuel-supply investment documented; delivered capacity and consumer savings remain to be demonstrated

America’s computing and manufacturing ambitions need dependable electricity. Scott Nolan’s discussion with Joe Lonsdale identifies an important link in that challenge: new nuclear reactors need a reliable fuel supply before they can deliver power. Public records support General Matter’s role in expanding domestic enrichment. The next question is whether financing, licensing and construction become qualified fuel, operating reactors and affordable electricity on the schedules that data centers require.

Related Strategic Directive: Global AI/SI Leadership — Data Centers · America’s Energy Revival — resources and fuel supply

General Matter: what the public record establishes

DOE announced a lease for a 100-acre parcel at the former Paducah Gaseous Diffusion Plant on August 5, 2025, with enrichment operations planned by the end of the decade. On January 5, 2026, DOE awarded General Matter a $900 million HALEU enrichment task order, alongside separate $900 million awards to American Centrifuge Operating and Orano Federal Services. DOE says payments follow milestones. The award is neither proof of full payment nor evidence that the proposed plant is operating.

EXIM’s March 17 announcement describes letters of interest supporting up to $4.2 billion in potential financing for General Matter’s fuel sales to Japanese and South Korean operators. Potential financing is distinct from a final loan, disbursement or completed export. These amounts should not be added into a claimed total already spent on construction.

Nolan describes an end-of-decade operating target and coordinated work on technology, manufacturing, construction and licensing. This review does not establish a final General Matter operating license or a guaranteed twelve-month review. A timetable announced for another applicant does not decide this project’s outcome. Track application acceptance, regulatory decisions, qualified output and actual deliveries separately.

Domestic enrichment exists; scaling and supply security are the issues

The interview’s broad suggestion that America has no enrichment at scale needs correction. DOE identifies URENCO USA in New Mexico and Centrus in Ohio as licensed production facilities. EIA reports that U.S.-origin enrichment accounted for 23% of the services purchased by civilian reactor operators in 2025; 77% was foreign-origin, including 26% from Russia. Those are enrichment-service shares, not shares of mined uranium, electricity or HALEU supply.

Existing domestic production and imported supply can coexist with a serious advanced-fuel bottleneck. Plant location, company ownership, technology origin and product qualification are different questions. General Matter’s contribution should be measured as additional reliable capacity and diversification, without erasing existing producers.

Fuel definitions and safety claims need precision

Natural uranium contains about 0.7% uranium-235; the transcript’s “711%” is a transcription error. Conventional reactor fuel commonly uses 3–5%. HALEU means greater than 5% and less than 20%, rather than only 10–20%. Fuel requirements depend on reactor design; small reactors do not all require the same enrichment.

DOE describes TRISO particles as a fuel kernel surrounded by carbon and silicon-carbide layers that retain fission products. That supports fuel robustness, not a blanket guarantee of accident-free reactors or the interview’s explanation that the coating automatically absorbs neutrons when hot. Safety judgments require the specific reactor design, tested conditions and regulatory record. DOE’s February 25, 2026 report confirms TRISO-X’s fabrication license while describing construction and irradiation testing still underway.

The pellet comparison also needs correction: DOE’s educational example equates one conventional pellet to roughly three barrels of oil, not more than one hundred. Fuel density is valuable, but it does not establish plant construction cost or a customer’s electricity price.

From a fuel factory to affordable power for AI

The interview mixes grid capacity with annual generation. Gigawatts measure capacity; terawatt-hours measure energy generated or consumed over time. Its “three times” and “a Texas every year” comparisons need a common year, definition and data series before being treated as verified U.S.–China benchmarks.

Nolan’s ambition for electricity below three cents per kilowatt-hour is a cost target. An older plant’s production cost cannot be compared directly with a present household tariff, which also pays for networks and other services. Test new-project construction, financing, fuel, operations, waste obligations and connection costs, then examine the actual contract and ratepayer allocation. Factory production may reduce costs with repeat orders; savings require evidence from delivered projects.

Fuel is one dependency among several. A data center still needs timely generation, grid connections, dependable service and a contract that assigns costs clearly. Restarts, uprates, large reactors, modular reactors and other power sources must be compared against the facility’s real demand schedule. This interview does not establish that every hyperscaler will rely on nuclear power or that a new enrichment plant solves near-term shortages.

SpaceX’s execution lesson—and its contracting limit

Nolan’s account of SpaceX emphasizes reducing cost and shortening the critical path. That is useful management testimony, rather than an audited comparison of every SpaceX and Boeing program. His example of receiving a constant percentage above costs also oversimplifies federal contracts: FAR 16.102 prohibits cost-plus-percentage-of-cost contracting, and FAR 16.306 says a fixed fee does not vary with actual cost, although changed work can change the fee. Incentive analysis must identify the actual contract.

Lonsdale discloses that he is a General Matter investor, and Nolan is discussing his own company. Their commercial perspective is relevant; independent performance and cost records remain the test. The interview’s allegations about Russian financing of European opposition require a separately sourced case before being adopted as a finding.

Nuclear power in space: a newer documented milestone

NASA and DOE signed a space nuclear collaboration agreement on October 8, 2026, effective November 1. NASA targets late 2028 for Space Reactor-1 Freedom’s nuclear-electric propulsion demonstration; its lunar surface reactor objective is launch readiness by 2030. These are distinct missions and future milestones. The agreement covers fuel, testing, launch integration and operations; it does not identify General Matter as the mission’s fuel supplier.

Power through lunar darkness and shadow is the relevant application. The Moon’s far side is not permanently dark. Launch safety, authorization and demonstrated system reliability remain essential even when the launch vehicle has an established record.

Related investigations and references

Testing the data-center and bakery water comparison

Focused connection reviewed October 10, 2026 · Original source dates retained

Status: Financing actions documented; delivery and outcome tests remain open

The interview’s average-new-data-center comparison lacks a defined sample and bakery benchmark. Berkeley Lab’s 2024 report distinguishes direct water consumption from electricity-related water use; its modeled 2023 national totals do not establish the water demand of today’s average new facility. Evaluate each project’s size, cooling design, source, consumption versus withdrawal, peak and drought demand. Low-water cooling can offer a constructive alternative, with energy and cost tradeoffs. No universal bakery equivalence is established here.

Read the primary EXIM industrial-finance review and references

Company-scale case study / September 30, 2026

SpaceX and xAI: what the 10-gigawatt claim actually means

SpaceX is combining launch, satellite, communications and AI-computing businesses at a scale large enough to affect national data-center forecasts. The figures must be separated carefully: computing capacity consumes electricity; it is not electricity supplied to the United States.

Terrestrial target: close to 10 GW of AI compute

Company plan: SpaceX expects more than 2 GW of computing capacity during 2026 and close to 10 GW by the end of 2027. Its AI business includes xAI, Grok, X and a rapidly expanding terrestrial data-center operation using NVIDIA hardware.

Scale: If 10 GW represented a continuous electrical draw, it would consume about 88 TWh in one year. That equals roughly 2.2% of total 2023 U.S. electricity consumption—not 25% of America's total power requirement. Compared with DOE's projected 2028 U.S. data-center consumption of 325–580 TWh, it would equal approximately 15%–27%. The frequently repeated “25%” figure is therefore plausible only as a comparison with projected U.S. data-center demand near the lower end of the forecast range.

Measurement caution: Company statements may distinguish accelerator or nameplate compute from total facility input. Cooling, power conversion, networking, load factor and reserve capacity determine actual grid and generation requirements.

Orbital proposal: a separate, longer-term plan

SpaceX's SEC filing says it expects to begin deploying orbital AI-compute satellites as early as 2028. It presents approximately 10 GW per year as an illustrative deployment rate that could support a commercially viable business, while describing a longer-term ambition of deploying up to 100 GW of power to orbit annually.

This is not 10 GW of operating orbital capacity today, a firm delivery schedule or electricity returned to the terrestrial grid. It depends on Starship launch cadence, satellite manufacturing, solar arrays, thermal rejection, radiation-tolerant computing, communications, maintenance and orbital-debris management.

GIB assessment: The terrestrial plan is a major test of whether one company can add generation, cooling and grid infrastructure at unprecedented speed without transferring pollution, water, reliability or stranded-asset costs to communities. The orbital plan could eventually move some energy collection and heat rejection away from Earth, but it introduces a different environmental, security, regulatory and space-traffic ledger. Both should be tracked as announced ambitions until operating capacity and independently measured performance exist.

SpaceX SEC filing · Reuters on the terrestrial expansion · DOE/LBNL national electricity benchmarks

Projects: Investment, Power & Community Impact

This section examines who finances and builds major campuses, why locations are chosen, what technology and power they require, and what communities receive through employment, electricity infrastructure and taxes. The supporting inventory covers 22 selected U.S. projects and phases, with records reviewed September 30, 2026.

Who owns the buildout?

The selected projects repeatedly involve major technology companies, specialist developers and institutional investors managing multiple campuses. The computing tenant, property developer, equity investor, lender and electricity supplier can be different entities. Vantage’s Lighthouse announcement, for example, identifies Oracle and OpenAI alongside platform investors DigitalBridge and Silver Lake.

Where is the financial opportunity?

Investment extends across land, facilities, generation, grid connections, cooling and computing equipment. Direct project financing and indirect public-company exposure are different opportunities. An announced campus budget does not establish an investor’s return; tenant commitments, power delivery, debt terms and construction performance determine the financial outcome.

Will communities receive power?

A purchase matching annual renewable consumption is different from adding dependable supply or reserving capacity for other customers. Lighthouse’s sponsors announce that 30% of new energy capacity will serve Wisconsin consumers. That is a planned allocation, not evidence that the resources are already operating or that every campus provides household electricity.

What remains locally?

Construction jobs, permanent operations, indirect employment and cumulative job-years need separate accounting. State and local revenue must also be separated from incentives, public infrastructure costs and company contributions. The supporting profiles retain source definitions and identify missing or conflicting figures rather than assign an unsupported net benefit.

Scope: This is a selected project inventory, not a complete national census. Campus budgets, statewide pledges, development costs, power capacity and computing capacity have different scopes. The figures should not be added into a national total.

Supporting records: Vantage’s Lighthouse investment, ownership and energy commitments · Reuters’ report on the announced partnership. Company forecasts establish commitments and expectations, not independently measured outcomes.

AT A GLANCE

Compare the projects

Compare 22 selected U.S. projects and phases by location, investment, planned capacity, construction jobs and long-term employment. Expand the section below to browse the projects.

Project comparisons 22 projects and phases
Selected U.S. projects and phases
ProjectLocationInvestmentPlanned capacityConstruction employmentLong-term employment
Abilene Stargate / Oracle campus
Abilene, Taylor County, Texas
$15B
1.2 GWAnnounced campus power capacity
Approximately 5,000 projected in Crusoe 2024 impact reporting. Not a permanent-job count.
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Abilene Microsoft / Crusoe adjacent campus
Abilene, Texas
Not disclosed
0.672 GWCritical IT load: two buildings at 336 MW each
Thousands projected.
Hundreds projected.
Frontier / Stargate
Shackelford County, Texas
$25B
1.4 GWAnnounced GPU compute capacity
More than 5,000 across construction and operations combined; split unavailable.
Separate count unavailable.
Project Jupiter / Stargate
Doña Ana County, New Mexico
$50B
Not disclosedNo comparable IT load verified; reported 2.45 GW relates to power system
More than 7,000 projected by Oracle; nearly 700 New Mexico residents onsite in July.
1,500 ongoing project-supported jobs projected; not established as all direct employees.
Lighthouse / Stargate
Port Washington, Wisconsin
$15B
1 GWClose to 1 GW AI capacity; approximate, not measured load
More than 4,000 projected, mostly union.
More than 1,000 projected across Vantage and Oracle.
Milam County / Stargate
Milam County, Texas
Not disclosed
1.2 GWLeased data center capacity
Thousands projected.
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Lordstown / Stargate
Lordstown, Ohio
Not disclosed
Not disclosedStandalone power requirement not verified
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
PORTS-Pike Technology Campus
Pike County, Ohio
Not disclosed
8 GWApproximately 8 GW IT leased to OpenAI; campus total may differ
35,000 over six-year buildout; not simultaneous peak staffing.
2,500 projected.
The Barn / Stargate
Saline Township, Michigan
$16B
1 GWMore than 1 GW announced; displayed lower bound
More than 2,500 union jobs projected; over 700 workers reported June 2026.
More than 450 onsite; county-supported jobs reported separately.
Childress Crusoe / Lancium
Childress County, Texas
Not disclosed
1 GWGrid-connected campus capacity
Thousands projected.
More than 100 projected.
Crusoe / Tallgrass Wyoming
Southeast Wyoming; exact site not specified
Not disclosed
1.8 GWInitial campus capacity; 10 GW is potential expansion
Jobs across multiple industries promised; no quantified split.
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Hyperion / Meta Richland Parish
Richland Parish, Louisiana
$50B
5 GWStated compute capacity; whole-site demand may be higher
More than 7,500 at peak projected.
1,000 projected.
Fairwater first facility / Microsoft
Mount Pleasant, Wisconsin
$3.3B
Not disclosedSite-specific electricity demand not disclosed
More than 3,000 at daily peak reported.
Village reports over 550 employees across Microsoft campus September 28, 2026.
Fairwater second facility / Microsoft
Mount Pleasant, Wisconsin
$4B
Not disclosedSeparate demand not disclosed
Separate count unavailable.
2025 plan: about 800 across both completed facilities; not 800 additional.
AWS Salem Township
Salem Township, Luzerne County, Pennsylvania
Not disclosed
Not disclosedStandalone site load not disclosed
Thousands across Pennsylvania plan; site split unavailable.
1,250 statewide pledge; site split unavailable.
AWS Falls Township
Falls Township, Bucks County, Pennsylvania
Not disclosed
Not disclosedStandalone site load not disclosed
Thousands across Pennsylvania plan; site split unavailable.
1,250 statewide pledge; site split unavailable.
Meta / BlackRock El Paso
Northeast El Paso, Texas
$14B
1 GWCompute capacity; not measured current demand
More than 4,000 peak projected; 2,300 onsite July 2026.
300 projected at expanded scale.
Google Armstrong campus
Armstrong County, Texas
Not disclosed
Not disclosedCampus electricity demand not disclosed
Site count unavailable.
Site count unavailable.
Google Haskell campus / Quantum co-location
Haskell County, Texas
Not disclosed
Not disclosedCampus electricity demand not disclosed
Site count unavailable.
Site count unavailable.
Google / AES Wilbarger campus
Wilbarger County, Texas
Not disclosed
Not disclosedCampus load not disclosed
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Google / Intersect Meitner Energy Center
Gray and Roberts counties, Texas
Not disclosed
Not disclosedData center load undisclosed; more than 1 GW refers to energy resources
Thousands supported regionally; worker hub can house 3,500. Housing capacity is not job count.
New roles promised; number unavailable.
AWS New Carlisle campus
New Carlisle, St. Joseph County, Indiana
$11B
Not disclosedSite load not verified
Separate count not supplied in initial announcement.
At least 1,000 new jobs in original investment pledge; job definition/phase verification needed.
Abilene Stargate / Oracle campus
Location
Abilene, Taylor County, Texas
Investment
$15B
Planned capacity
1.2 GWAnnounced campus power capacity
Construction employment
Approximately 5,000 projected in Crusoe 2024 impact reporting. Not a permanent-job count.
Long-term employment
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Full project profile
Abilene Microsoft / Crusoe adjacent campus
Location
Abilene, Texas
Investment
Not disclosed
Planned capacity
0.672 GWCritical IT load: two buildings at 336 MW each
Construction employment
Thousands projected.
Long-term employment
Hundreds projected.
Full project profile
Frontier / Stargate
Location
Shackelford County, Texas
Investment
$25B
Planned capacity
1.4 GWAnnounced GPU compute capacity
Construction employment
More than 5,000 across construction and operations combined; split unavailable.
Long-term employment
Separate count unavailable.
Full project profile
Project Jupiter / Stargate
Location
Doña Ana County, New Mexico
Investment
$50B
Planned capacity
Not disclosedNo comparable IT load verified; reported 2.45 GW relates to power system
Construction employment
More than 7,000 projected by Oracle; nearly 700 New Mexico residents onsite in July.
Long-term employment
1,500 ongoing project-supported jobs projected; not established as all direct employees.
Full project profile
Lighthouse / Stargate
Location
Port Washington, Wisconsin
Investment
$15B
Planned capacity
1 GWClose to 1 GW AI capacity; approximate, not measured load
Construction employment
More than 4,000 projected, mostly union.
Long-term employment
More than 1,000 projected across Vantage and Oracle.
Full project profile
Milam County / Stargate
Location
Milam County, Texas
Investment
Not disclosed
Planned capacity
1.2 GWLeased data center capacity
Construction employment
Thousands projected.
Long-term employment
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Full project profile
Lordstown / Stargate
Location
Lordstown, Ohio
Investment
Not disclosed
Planned capacity
Not disclosedStandalone power requirement not verified
Construction employment
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Long-term employment
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Full project profile
PORTS-Pike Technology Campus
Location
Pike County, Ohio
Investment
Not disclosed
Planned capacity
8 GWApproximately 8 GW IT leased to OpenAI; campus total may differ
Construction employment
35,000 over six-year buildout; not simultaneous peak staffing.
Long-term employment
2,500 projected.
Full project profile
The Barn / Stargate
Location
Saline Township, Michigan
Investment
$16B
Planned capacity
1 GWMore than 1 GW announced; displayed lower bound
Construction employment
More than 2,500 union jobs projected; over 700 workers reported June 2026.
Long-term employment
More than 450 onsite; county-supported jobs reported separately.
Full project profile
Childress Crusoe / Lancium
Location
Childress County, Texas
Investment
Not disclosed
Planned capacity
1 GWGrid-connected campus capacity
Construction employment
Thousands projected.
Long-term employment
More than 100 projected.
Full project profile
Crusoe / Tallgrass Wyoming
Location
Southeast Wyoming; exact site not specified
Investment
Not disclosed
Planned capacity
1.8 GWInitial campus capacity; 10 GW is potential expansion
Construction employment
Jobs across multiple industries promised; no quantified split.
Long-term employment
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Full project profile
Hyperion / Meta Richland Parish
Location
Richland Parish, Louisiana
Investment
$50B
Planned capacity
5 GWStated compute capacity; whole-site demand may be higher
Construction employment
More than 7,500 at peak projected.
Long-term employment
1,000 projected.
Full project profile
Fairwater first facility / Microsoft
Location
Mount Pleasant, Wisconsin
Investment
$3.3B
Planned capacity
Not disclosedSite-specific electricity demand not disclosed
Construction employment
More than 3,000 at daily peak reported.
Long-term employment
Village reports over 550 employees across Microsoft campus September 28, 2026.
Full project profile
Fairwater second facility / Microsoft
Location
Mount Pleasant, Wisconsin
Investment
$4B
Planned capacity
Not disclosedSeparate demand not disclosed
Construction employment
Separate count unavailable.
Long-term employment
2025 plan: about 800 across both completed facilities; not 800 additional.
Full project profile
AWS Salem Township
Location
Salem Township, Luzerne County, Pennsylvania
Investment
Not disclosed
Planned capacity
Not disclosedStandalone site load not disclosed
Construction employment
Thousands across Pennsylvania plan; site split unavailable.
Long-term employment
1,250 statewide pledge; site split unavailable.
Full project profile
AWS Falls Township
Location
Falls Township, Bucks County, Pennsylvania
Investment
Not disclosed
Planned capacity
Not disclosedStandalone site load not disclosed
Construction employment
Thousands across Pennsylvania plan; site split unavailable.
Long-term employment
1,250 statewide pledge; site split unavailable.
Full project profile
Meta / BlackRock El Paso
Location
Northeast El Paso, Texas
Investment
$14B
Planned capacity
1 GWCompute capacity; not measured current demand
Construction employment
More than 4,000 peak projected; 2,300 onsite July 2026.
Long-term employment
300 projected at expanded scale.
Full project profile
Google Armstrong campus
Location
Armstrong County, Texas
Investment
Not disclosed
Planned capacity
Not disclosedCampus electricity demand not disclosed
Construction employment
Site count unavailable.
Long-term employment
Site count unavailable.
Full project profile
Google Haskell campus / Quantum co-location
Location
Haskell County, Texas
Investment
Not disclosed
Planned capacity
Not disclosedCampus electricity demand not disclosed
Construction employment
Site count unavailable.
Long-term employment
Site count unavailable.
Full project profile
Google / AES Wilbarger campus
Location
Wilbarger County, Texas
Investment
Not disclosed
Planned capacity
Not disclosedCampus load not disclosed
Construction employment
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Long-term employment
Not disclosed in the reviewed sources
Full project profile
Google / Intersect Meitner Energy Center
Location
Gray and Roberts counties, Texas
Investment
Not disclosed
Planned capacity
Not disclosedData center load undisclosed; more than 1 GW refers to energy resources
Construction employment
Thousands supported regionally; worker hub can house 3,500. Housing capacity is not job count.
Long-term employment
New roles promised; number unavailable.
Full project profile
AWS New Carlisle campus
Location
New Carlisle, St. Joseph County, Indiana
Investment
$11B
Planned capacity
Not disclosedSite load not verified
Construction employment
Separate count not supplied in initial announcement.
Long-term employment
At least 1,000 new jobs in original investment pledge; job definition/phase verification needed.
Full project profile

B = billion U.S. dollars. GW = gigawatt (1,000 megawatts). Capacity is planned unless stated otherwise; generation capacity, computing capacity and measured electricity demand are different quantities. See each profile’s investment scope.

Supporting evidence / Data Centers investigation

Detailed project profiles & sources

Open 22 expandable project profiles with investment, power, employment, fiscal terms, source records and unresolved questions.

Open detailed project profiles

Comprehensive impact ledger

Benefits, concerns and the test that should decide

No single national average can decide a local project. The ledger keeps direct, indirect, cumulative and long-term effects in the same review.

Need, demand and the risk of overbuilding

Potential benefit

Data centers sustain banking, hospitals, government records, logistics, communications, science, cloud software and AI. Capacity near users can improve reliability, sovereignty and latency.

Concern or cost

Developer interconnection queues may include duplicate, speculative or inflated requests. Forecasts depend on AI adoption, chip supply, efficiency and financing; stranded campuses and premature grid spending are possible.

Decision test

Require deposits, milestones, site control, financial security and transparent queue rules. Separate contracted load from aspirational pipeline and publish high/low scenarios.

Electricity, reliability and ratepayers

Potential benefit

A large flexible customer can finance new generation, storage and transmission, support around-the-clock demand and sometimes curtail load during emergencies.

Concern or cost

Concentrated loads can delay other connections, require costly substations and transmission, increase local fossil generation and transfer underused-asset risk to households or small businesses.

Decision test

Use a separate large-load tariff: cost-causation, minimum bills, take-or-pay commitments, collateral, exit fees and enforceable curtailment. Protect ordinary customers from stranded costs.

Clean energy versus dirty energy

Potential benefit

Long-term contracts can accelerate wind, solar, storage, geothermal and nuclear projects. Carbon-aware scheduling can move work to cleaner hours or regions.

Concern or cost

Annual renewable certificates can coexist with fossil electricity during the hours and in the regions where a facility actually operates. Backup diesel, gas turbines and grid congestion add local and system emissions.

Decision test

Report hourly, location-based electricity and marginal emissions—not only annual matching. Disclose backup-generator hours, additionality, methane assumptions and firming resources.

Water and heat

Potential benefit

Reclaimed water, closed loops, dry cooling and siting in cool climates can reduce freshwater withdrawals. Waste heat can serve nearby buildings or industry where temperature and distance make reuse practical.

Concern or cost

Evaporative cooling can consume substantial water, especially on the hottest days when communities and ecosystems are stressed. Power generation adds indirect water use; chemical treatment and blowdown affect discharge.

Decision test

Publish monthly withdrawal and consumption by source, drought-stage limits and peak-day demand. Price scarcity, prioritize non-potable water and require a binding conservation plan.

Land, nature and neighborhood life

Potential benefit

Projects may remediate industrial land, expand fiber and utilities, and generate a large tax base with limited daily traffic after construction.

Concern or cost

Large campuses fragment habitat and farmland, alter views and drainage, create transmission corridors, and produce continuous fan, chiller, generator and electrical hum. Diesel exhaust and construction traffic are highly localized.

Decision test

Prefer brownfields and existing industrial zones; require cumulative ecological review, setbacks, dark-sky design, noise limits at property lines, continuous monitoring and complaint enforcement.

Public finance, taxes and subsidies

Potential benefit

Equipment and real-property taxes can fund schools and services. Construction creates a short-term economic surge; stable facilities can diversify a locality's revenue.

Concern or cost

Tax abatements, cheap land, utility discounts, roads and power upgrades can exceed public returns. Fast equipment depreciation, secrecy and subsidy competition weaken bargaining; a locality can become dependent on one taxpayer.

Decision test

Publish the full incentive agreement and 30-year net-present-value analysis. Use clawbacks for capital, jobs and uptime promises; include infrastructure, water, emergency and decommissioning costs.

Employment and workforce

Potential benefit

Projects employ electricians, HVAC and controls technicians, lineworkers, construction trades, network administrators, security staff and engineers. Apprenticeships can create durable local careers.

Concern or cost

Peak construction can involve thousands, but a completed highly automated facility may employ only dozens. Imported specialist labor, job displacement through AI and occupational heat/electrical risks complicate gross job claims.

Decision test

Separate job-years from permanent full-time jobs; disclose local residency, wages, benefits and contractors. Fund apprenticeships and transition programs, with enforceable targets rather than press-release totals.

Safety, resilience and emergency services

Potential benefit

Redundant design, cybersecurity, onsite power and disciplined operations can support continuity during disasters and protect essential digital services.

Concern or cost

Lithium-ion thermal runaway, stored fuel, high-voltage equipment, refrigerants and generator emissions create fire and hazardous-material risks. Water, police and fire departments may need new equipment and training.

Decision test

Require independent hazard analysis, responder access, incident disclosure, cybersecurity controls, tested emergency plans and company funding for specialized local capacity.

Intellectual, educational and societal effects

Potential benefit

Abundant computing accelerates research, language access, accessibility tools, scientific simulation, education and creative production. Public and university access can broaden participation.

Concern or cost

Compute concentration can centralize knowledge production, enable surveillance and misinformation, intensify academic dependence on private firms and widen gaps between institutions that can and cannot afford advanced systems.

Decision test

Measure public-interest access, research independence, model transparency and media-literacy investment. Protect libraries, schools and universities from exclusive dependency and preserve human judgment.

Competition, ownership, privacy and cyber risk

Potential benefit

Shared cloud platforms lower startup costs and give small organizations access to sophisticated security and computing tools.

Concern or cost

A few firms may control chips, cloud capacity, data and energy access. Egress fees and proprietary interfaces create lock-in; concentrated facilities become cyber, espionage and physical-security targets.

Decision test

Require portability, interoperable formats, clear ownership and deletion terms, supply-chain review, segmentation and independent audits. Competition authorities should examine vertical control of chips, cloud and models.

National security and global distribution

Potential benefit

Domestic capacity supports defense, health, finance and government continuity. Regional diversification and sovereign facilities can reduce dependency and improve disaster recovery.

Concern or cost

Export controls, undersea cables, semiconductor chokepoints and cross-border data rules turn computing into geopolitical leverage. Wealthy regions may capture value while other communities supply minerals, energy or water and bear pollution.

Decision test

Map critical dependencies, protect civil liberties, diversify suppliers and locations, and assess upstream mining/manufacturing plus downstream e-waste—not only onsite impacts.

End of life and intergenerational liability

Potential benefit

Modular equipment can be upgraded, refurbished or recycled; substations and fiber may support later industries.

Concern or cost

Rapid chip turnover creates e-waste. Empty shells, contaminated backup-fuel systems and oversize grid assets can remain after a tenant leaves, while communities inherit cleanup and debt.

Decision test

Require recycling disclosure, reuse targets, decommissioning plans, financial assurance and periodic reassessment of the site's remaining public value.

The argument against expansion · Contextual evidence review October 14, 2026

The case against expansion: community costs and local control

The strongest local argument against rapid data-center expansion is about the bargain a community is being asked to accept. Computing services can benefit the country while electricity infrastructure, water demand, noise and land-use changes fall on particular neighborhoods. A large investment announcement does not settle whether those residents receive a fair return or a meaningful voice.

Ken LaCorte, host of Elephants in Rooms and former editorial head of FoxNews.com, connects that bargain to a wider loss of trust in Big Tech in “What’s really behind the data center backlash?”. His argument supplies the perspective examined here; the project-level facts and the broader interpretation require different kinds of evidence. LaCorte’s media background.

A construction boom is not the same as a permanent employment base

Virginia’s Joint Legislative Audit and Review Commission (JLARC) reported about 50 full-time workers, including contractors, at a typical 250,000-square-foot facility, compared with roughly 1,500 workers at peak construction. Those temporary jobs are real economic activity, and local tax receipts can be substantial. The objection is to presenting a construction surge as though it were an equivalent permanent payroll. Communities need separate commitments for construction, continuing operations, local hiring and net revenue after incentives and public costs. These Virginia figures are illustrative, not a staffing rule for every campus. JLARC’s 2024 impact review.

Resource use becomes a local question about who pays

New concentrated electricity demand can require generation, substations and transmission long before the public knows whether every projected workload will arrive. JLARC found that Virginia’s existing rates appropriately allocated current costs in its 2024 review, while warning about future system costs and exposure if expected demand did not materialize. Ohio’s dedicated AEP data-center tariff illustrates a response: minimum-payment commitments intended to protect other customers from infrastructure risk, with industry appeals tracked separately. Neither finding establishes that every household already subsidizes every facility. Ohio Consumers’ Counsel’s tariff record.

Water concerns depend on cooling design, the source and local scarcity. Dry cooling can reduce water consumption with electricity tradeoffs; a national average cannot decide whether a particular watershed can support peak summer demand. Noise also calls for a measurable local test. Fairfax County’s 2024 amendments required residential setbacks and pre- and post-construction noise studies. The practical argument is for enforceable limits before approval, rather than assurances that all data centers have the same impact. Department of Energy cooling guidance · Fairfax County’s adopted protections.

Property rights and local consent extend beyond the campus fence

In March 2025, Loudoun County eliminated data centers as a by-right use and required special-exception approval, strengthening case-by-case elected review. Approval under existing zoning is not the same as every resident’s agreement; opposition likewise does not prove that a project lacked lawful authorization. The relevant questions are who can review the proposal, what information is public and which conditions can be enforced. Loudoun County’s land-use record.

Transmission can involve landowners who do not receive the host locality’s tax benefits. Maryland’s consumer advocate identifies data-center growth as a major driver of the transmission package containing the Maryland Piedmont Reliability Project. Developer PSEG says eminent domain for transmission easements could become an option after regulatory approval and unsuccessful good-faith negotiations. That is a conditional utility-infrastructure process, not a general power for data-center companies to seize neighboring land. It nevertheless makes property rights and the distribution of benefits central to the dispute. Maryland Office of People’s Counsel · PSEG’s easement explanation.

Cross-party opposition can coexist with organized advocacy

Gallup’s March 2026 survey found that 71% opposed an AI data center in their area, with majorities in every party group. Its April follow-up found resource use and environmental effects prominent among opponents’ stated reasons, alongside quality-of-life, economic and AI concerns. These results establish cross-party sentiment, not a common motive or organizer for every local campaign. Gallup’s questions and findings.

Advocacy organizations also participate openly. The Virginia Data Center Reform Coalition lists conservation, preservation, climate and neighborhood groups seeking transparency and ratepayer protections. Coordination can help residents contest technically complex proposals. The coalition’s existence does not establish that local grievances were manufactured, that participants share every political objective or that undisclosed interests direct a particular protest. Such allegations require their own evidence. Coalition membership and objectives.

A physical target for wider distrust of Big Tech

LaCorte’s broader interpretation is that people who feel unable to influence algorithms, Silicon Valley or the direction of Ai can still challenge a physical development in their community. A zoning hearing can become a proxy vote on technological change. His July 28, 2026 commentary makes that connection; it is an attributed explanation, not a demonstrated motive for every opponent or proof that projects generally proceed without consent.

GIB assessment: The case against expansion is strongest where a specific project cannot demonstrate durable local benefits, enforceable resource protections and a credible public decision process. National technological ambition does not erase property rights or local accountability. Equally, a well-sited project with transparent contracts and verified outcomes should be judged on that record. The decisive evidence remains the permit, tariff, water plan, noise measurements, employment commitments and results delivered to the affected community.

Energy finding

“Clean” is a time-and-place claim

The IEA expects renewables and nuclear to provide nearly 60% of the electricity consumed by data centers by 2030, yet gas and coal supply more than 40% of additional electricity demand through 2030. Both can be true. A company may buy enough renewable energy over a year while its facility draws fossil-heavy electricity during particular hours.

Strategic Directive

U.S. Leadership in Artificial Intelligence

Connect physical computing capacity to the national AI objective, implementation record, outcomes and execution risks.

Open the U.S. leadership hub →
Annual matching

Accounting claim

Certificates or contracts equal annual consumption. Useful for financing clean generation, but can mask when and where electricity was actually produced.

24/7 local matching

Physical-system claim

Electricity is matched by hour and region with carbon-free supply. It exposes the need for firm generation, storage, transmission or flexible computing.

Related GIB Investigation

Nuclear Got A Bad Wrap?

Test nuclear power as one possible source of dependable data-center electricity—including safety, cost, water, construction performance and consumer risk.

Read the nuclear investigation →
Related GIB Investigation

America Reloaded

See how electricity, communications, skilled labor and resilient infrastructure support defense production and national endurance as well as civilian computing.

Read the infrastructure analysis →
Related GIB Investigation

Global AI Power & Governance

Compare how compute, chips, energy, law and deployment shape national AI power.

Read the country comparison →
Related GIB Investigation

AI for Human Flourishing

Test whether infrastructure-supported AI produces measurable public benefit.

Read the human-benefit investigation →

Employment pathways

The durable opportunity is skilled infrastructure work

Virginia's JLARC found large statewide economic effects but also that most benefits arise during construction; DOE's Tribal FAQ similarly cautions that permanent employment can range from a few to a few dozen even when construction involves thousands over several years. Honest workforce planning distinguishes job-years, permanent positions and induced jobs.

Construction + permanent

Electricians, lineworkers and substation technicians

Power distribution, controls, backup systems and grid interconnection; apprenticeship and licensing pathways are especially relevant.

Construction + permanent

HVAC, mechanical and water-system technicians

Cooling plants, pumps, treatment, leak detection and increasingly direct-to-chip liquid systems.

Permanent

Network, systems and cybersecurity staff

Fiber, servers, operating systems, access control, incident response and reliability operations.

Design + operations

Electrical, mechanical and civil engineers

Site planning, power quality, thermal systems, structures, water, permitting and optimization.

Mostly temporary

Construction trades and project management

Multi-year demand for concrete, steel, electrical, plumbing, commissioning, logistics and safety expertise.

Public + private

Community oversight and environmental work

Utility analysis, air and water monitoring, land-use planning, emergency response, auditing and compliance.

Laws and policy / Grid update September 30, 2026

Governments are shifting from promotion to conditions

Democratic AI and data-center proposals in the 2026 midterm debate · October 5

Democratic proposals span different levels of intervention. Senator Mark Warner’s reported framework includes advanced-model testing, incident reporting, data-center energy and water disclosures, and targeted tax changes. Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez proposed a pause on new AI data-center construction until safeguards are in place. Other Democratic measures would change data-center tax benefits or tax AI activity. These are proposals, not enacted federal requirements, and they do not describe one uniform party position. Axios on Warner’s proposal · AP on the Sanders–Ocasio-Cortez bill · Bloomberg Tax on tax proposals and campaign framing.

Bloomberg Tax reports that a House Majority PAC memo directed partner groups to connect data-center developers with Republicans’ votes on the 2025 tax law. That is evidence of an electoral message strategy. It does not by itself establish the cost or benefit of any specific facility. Test each argument against actual utility rates, grid-upgrade allocations, tax agreements, water use, job commitments and permit records.

Local data-center opposition is broader than party politics. Reuters reported protests across 42 states but did not attribute the movement generally to Democratic Party organization. A candidate or PAC may use a local dispute in campaign messaging; that does not show that the party organized the protest or that residents’ concerns are fabricated. Reuters on the multistate protest movement.

JurisdictionInstrumentWhat it doesGIB assessment
JurisdictionUnited States / federal
Instrument2025–2026
What it doesExecutive Order 14318 accelerates federal permitting and use of federal land for qualifying AI infrastructure; EPA clarified air-program treatment for certain islanded generation; FERC ordered six grid operators to justify or reform large-load rules.
GIB assessmentAcceleration is now paired with an unresolved cost-allocation and local-pollution question.
JurisdictionU.S. voluntary pledge
InstrumentMarch 2026
What it doesThe White House Ratepayer Protection Pledge asks major technology companies to bring or buy power, fund delivery upgrades, accept separate rates and support local jobs.
GIB assessmentIts value depends on enforceable utility tariffs and contracts, not the pledge alone.
JurisdictionStates and localities
InstrumentCurrent
What it doesCalifornia forecasts rapid load growth but local land-use agencies generally permit facilities; New York imposed a temporary moratorium on new facilities at or above 50 MW while developing standards; many jurisdictions use zoning, tax and utility law.
GIB assessmentRules vary widely, so cumulative regional effects can fall between local decisions.
JurisdictionEuropean Union
InstrumentCurrent
What it doesThe Energy Efficiency Directive requires reporting from data centers above 500 kW and supports an EU rating scheme and possible minimum performance standards.
GIB assessmentComparable disclosure is a prerequisite for credible efficiency policy.
JurisdictionSingapore
InstrumentGreen Data Centre Roadmap
What it doesNew capacity is tied to energy efficiency and additional clean-energy pathways in a land- and power-constrained city-state.
GIB assessmentConstraint can improve selection, but may relocate impacts to another grid.
JurisdictionChina
InstrumentEast-data-west-computing
What it doesNational hubs steer computing toward western regions with land and renewable resources while serving demand centers in the east.
GIB assessmentGeographic balancing can reduce pressure but raises transmission, water, security and regional-equity questions.

Policy gap: Data-center regulation is fragmented across land use, utilities, environmental permits, tax incentives, privacy, cybersecurity and competition law. A project can satisfy each narrow permit while its cumulative public cost remains unmeasured.

AI evidence review · October 5, 2026

Development restrictions could alter infrastructure demand

GIB analysis: a pause in advanced model development could change demand for training capacity, financing and project schedules. It would not automatically halt inference, ordinary computing or every data center. S.5493 remains a proposal; no project cancellation, electricity saving or community revenue loss is attributed to it here. Track actual contracts, financing changes, construction and metered demand before estimating effects.

Read the development-pause proposal

Project-level public-interest test

Approve only when total, distributed, long-term benefits exceed full costs

A credible decision uses at least a 20–30 year horizon, high and low demand scenarios, cumulative regional impacts and an explicit distributional analysis. A large gross investment number is not a benefit by itself.

  1. 1. Need and additionality

    What essential or productive service requires this capacity? Is the demand contracted, plausible and not duplicated elsewhere?

  2. 2. Grid and ratepayer protection

    Does the customer pay all incremental generation, interconnection, transmission, reserve and stranded-asset costs?

  3. 3. Climate and air

    What are hourly local emissions, backup emissions and the additional clean firm resources attributable to the project?

  4. 4. Water and nature

    Can the watershed, habitat and community sustain normal and peak demand through drought and cumulative buildout?

  5. 5. Local value

    After subsidies and service costs, what tax revenue, permanent jobs, wages, apprenticeships and infrastructure remain locally?

  6. 6. Rights and social value

    How are privacy, security, competition, research independence and equitable access protected?

  7. 7. Transparency and enforceability

    Are assumptions, contracts, performance data, penalties and complaint processes public and legally enforceable?

  8. 8. Exit and uncertainty

    Who pays if demand falls, ownership changes or the site closes? Are decommissioning and scenario stress tests funded?

Data centers are increasingly necessary infrastructure. Necessity does not justify every facility, location, subsidy or use. The burden is on each project to prove durable public value—and to internalize the risks it creates.

Information a host community should demand

A minimum disclosure package before approval

  • Beneficial owner, intended tenant or workload class, site-control status and realistic energization schedule.
  • Contracted megawatts, peak megawatts, load factor, ramp rate, redundancy design and curtailment capability.
  • Generation and grid upgrades, hourly emissions, backup fuel and testing, interconnection cost and rate tariff.
  • Monthly water withdrawal and consumption by source, peak-day use, wastewater quality and drought response.
  • Noise model and continuous verification, air permits, habitat and farmland effects, traffic and emergency plans.
  • All tax incentives and public infrastructure, jobs by phase, wage and residency commitments, and fiscal stress test.
  • Cybersecurity, data ownership and privacy controls, supply-chain exposure, incident reporting and responsible-use terms.
  • Equipment turnover, e-waste and reuse plan, decommissioning security, ownership-transfer rules and enforceable penalties.

Primary and authoritative sources

Evidence base

This investigation prioritizes government records, regulators, technical standards and first-party engineering documentation. Projections are scenarios, not certainties; company claims are identified as such and used for technical examples rather than treated as independent proof of public benefit.

01
President Donald J. Trump — GlobalFoundries and U.S.–Japan semiconductor statement

Primary presidential statement announcing up to $21 billion for two New York semiconductor fabs, projected employment, a CHIPS-award reallocation and federal equity.

Open ↗
02
GlobalFoundries — U.S.–Japan semiconductor-fab announcement

Company record identifying the financing structure, planned Malta fabs, projected jobs, $955 million award reallocation, targeted technologies and approximately 4% federal equity.

Open ↗
03
Reuters — Japan to invest in two GlobalFoundries-operated U.S. fabs

Contemporaneous reporting on the up-to-$21-billion commitment, joint ownership, anticipated timetable and relationship to the U.S.–Japan trade agreement.

Open ↗
04
U.S. Commerce Department — 2024 preliminary GlobalFoundries CHIPS terms

Earlier federal record showing that a Malta fab, capacity expansion and Burlington modernization preceded the October 2026 amendment.

Open ↗
05
President Donald J. Trump — U.S.–Korea energy-investment statement

Primary presidential statement announcing a Texas gas-power project, proposed nuclear reactors and Alaska LNG investment, and linking the package to semiconductors and other industries of the future.

Open ↗
06
Reuters — U.S.–Korea energy-investment package

Contemporaneous reporting connecting the Texas plant to data centers and chip manufacturing while identifying commercial, financing and binding-commitment limits.

Open ↗
07
Yonhap — Seoul's project-status distinction

Contemporaneous South Korean reporting that only the Texas project is finalized while nuclear and Alaska proposals remain under discussion.

Open ↗
08
DOE — September 17 Mid-Atlantic emergency order

Temporary September 17–18 reliability authorization; not a finding of data-center causation.

Open ↗
09
DOE — September 24 SPARK grid investments

31 selected projects; announced funding and projected transmission-capacity gains, not completed generation.

Open ↗
10
Senator Husted — Ratepayer Protection Act floor effort

Primary sponsor account of House passage and September 17 Senate objection.

Open ↗
11
Senator Heinrich — GRID Savings Act alternative

Primary account of the competing mandatory approach and reciprocal Senate objection.

Open ↗
12
AP — September 30 Senate consideration

Contemporaneous reporting on renewed consideration; no enacted-law claim.

Open ↗
13
SpaceX SEC filing — terrestrial and orbital AI compute

Company filing describing current terrestrial capacity, an orbital-compute start as early as 2028, an illustrative 10-GW annual orbital deployment rate and a longer-term ambition of up to 100 GW annually.

Open ↗
14
Reuters — SpaceX AI-compute expansion

Independent reporting on SpaceX's plan for more than 2 GW of computing capacity in 2026 and close to 10 GW by the end of 2027.

Open ↗
15
President Donald J. Trump — Truth Social statement on AI and data centers

Primary presidential statement connecting AI infrastructure, existing federal power and strategic competition with China.

Open ↗
16
President Donald J. Trump — follow-up statement on AI risk and Google’s Finland investment

Primary presidential statement describing AI and data centers as an exceptional economic engine and attributing Google’s Finland choice to U.S. permitting difficulty.

Open ↗
17
President Donald J. Trump — statement on neighborhood opposition to data centers

Primary presidential statement dismissing neighborhood objections and alleging that unnamed opponents serve interests contrary to the United States.

Open ↗
18
President Donald J. Trump — statement announcing an ‘AI Force’

Primary presidential statement promising new AI coordination and asserting broad salary, tax and public-safety benefits from data centers.

Open ↗
19
Google — €13 billion Finland AI-infrastructure announcement

Company record confirming the investment while identifying Finnish infrastructure, energy and partnerships—not U.S. permitting—as the stated context.

Open ↗
20
Google — responsible energy growth in Finland

Company explanation of siting, grid capacity, carbon-free energy, nuclear life extension, wind and storage.

Open ↗
21
IEA — Key questions on energy and AI

2025–2030 electricity demand, AI growth and uncertainty.

Open ↗
22
IEA — World Energy Outlook 2025

Global data-center investment comparison.

Open ↗
23
IEA — Energy supply for AI

Renewable, nuclear, gas and coal shares in added supply.

Open ↗
24
U.S. DOE/LBNL — Data-center electricity demand

U.S. 2023 consumption and 2028 range.

Open ↗
25
California Energy Commission — Data centers

California facilities, load forecasts and permitting roles.

Open ↗
26
FERC — Large-load integration action

June 2026 grid-operator tariff inquiry.

Open ↗
27
White House — Executive Order 14318

Federal AI data-center permitting policy.

Open ↗
28
White House — Ratepayer Protection Pledge

Voluntary large-load cost and power commitments.

Open ↗
29
EPA — Clean Air Act resources for data centers

Air-permitting and stationary-source requirements.

Open ↗
30
New York — Executive Order 62

Temporary moratorium for facilities at or above 50 MW.

Open ↗
31
EU Commission — Energy performance of data centers

Reporting threshold, rating scheme and policy framework.

Open ↗
32
Virginia JLARC — Data Centers in Virginia

Balanced state evidence on jobs, taxes, power, water and local effects.

Open ↗
33
DOE — Tribal data-center FAQ

Jobs, water, land and development considerations.

Open ↗
34
ASHRAE — AI data-center framework

Rack-density, cooling and integrated-design principles.

Open ↗
35
NVIDIA — GB300 NVL72 architecture

Example of an AI rack rated up to 142 kW.

Open ↗
36
Uptime Institute — PUE and larger facilities

2026 PUE benchmark and measurement limits.

Open ↗
37
Google Cloud — 24/7 carbon-free energy

Difference between annual matching and hourly local supply.

Open ↗
38
IBM — What is a data center?

History from early computer rooms through modern facilities.

Open ↗
39
Computer History Museum — Amazon EC2

Cloud-computing milestone in 2006.

Open ↗
40
NIST — Definition of cloud computing

Authoritative cloud characteristics and service models.

Open ↗
41
NIST — AI data-center security

Physical, cyber and supply-chain security analysis.

Open ↗
42
UK CMA — Cloud-services actions

Competition, interoperability and egress concerns.

Open ↗
43
Singapore IMDA — Green Data Centre Roadmap

Capacity and sustainability policy.

Open ↗
44
China State Council — East-data-west project

National computing-hub strategy.

Open ↗